23.也就是说，预测分析领域方兴未艾，既用于商业用途，也用于政府领域，预测社会和个人层面的思想和行为。SeeEricSiegel,PredictiveAnalytics:ThePowertoPredictWhoWillClick,Buy,Lie,orDie(Hoboken,N.J.:JohnWileyamp;Sons,2013).

24.Foranexplorationofthisconcept,particularlyasappliedtothecommercialrealm,seeLanier,WhoOwnstheFuture?

25.SeeChapter3.

26.Mayer-Sch?nbergerandCukier,BigData,150.

27.EdmundBurke,ReflectionsontheRevolutioninFrance(1790;Indianapolis:Hackett,1987),29.

结论当今时代能建立世界秩序吗？

1.Foracompellingexplorationofthisshiftanditspossibleimplications,seeCharlesKupchan,NoOnesWorld:TheWest,theRisingRest,andtheComingGlobalTurn(NewYork:OxfordUniversityPress,2012).

2.TheseminalworkaboutprospectsforaworldorderedonsuchabasisisSamuelHuntington,TheClashofCivilizationsandtheRemakingofWorldOrder(NewYork:Simonamp;Schuster,1996).

3.Ontheevolutionandappealofdifferentmodels,seeJohnMicklethwaitandAdrianWooldridge,TheFourthRevolution:TheGlobalRacetoReinventtheState(NewYork:PenguinPress,2014).

4.EdmundBurketoCharles-Jean-Fran?oisDepont,November1789,inOnEmpire,Liberty,andReform,412ndash;13.

5.G.S.KirkandJ.E.Raven,ThePresocraticPhilosophers:ACriticalHistorywithaSelectionofTexts(Cambridge,U.K.:CambridgeUniversityPress,1957),193,195,199(onHeraclitus);FriedrichNietzsche,ThePre-PlatonicPhilosophers,trans.withcommentarybyGregWhitlock(Urbana:UniversityofIllinoisPress,2001).

6.HenryA.Kissinger,TheMeaningofHistory:ReflectionsonSpengler,ToynbeeandKant(undergraduatethesis,DepartmentofGovernment,HarvardUniversity,1950).

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